Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.001185 0.001335 0.001485 0.001646 0.001814 0.001982 0.002163
2025-12-07 0.000958 0.001176 0.001401 0.001648 0.001909 0.002177 0.002470
2025-12-14 0.000755 0.001020 0.001302 0.001618 0.001960 0.002315 0.002709
2025-12-21 0.000632 0.000937 0.001270 0.001652 0.002071 0.002512 0.003005
2025-12-28 0.000490 0.000818 0.001189 0.001623 0.002108 0.002623 0.003205
2026-01-04 0.000391 0.000738 0.001144 0.001629 0.002177 0.002765 0.003435
2026-01-11 0.000297 0.000653 0.001087 0.001615 0.002220 0.002875 0.003626
2026-01-18 0.000220 0.000580 0.001037 0.001605 0.002264 0.002982 0.003810
2026-01-25 0.000133 0.000478 0.000943 0.001539 0.002239 0.003011 0.003906
2026-02-01 0.000079 0.000410 0.000888 0.001513 0.002258 0.003084 0.004048
2026-02-08 0.000045 0.000366 0.000858 0.001516 0.002307 0.003191 0.004225
2026-02-15 0.000025 0.000339 0.000850 0.001543 0.002384 0.003326 0.004432
2026-02-22 0.000008 0.000316 0.000858 0.001607 0.002523 0.003554 0.004769
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000259 0.000813 0.001604 0.002584 0.003696 0.005011
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000194 0.000748 0.001572 0.002609 0.003796 0.005208
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000164 0.000734 0.001604 0.002711 0.003984 0.005503
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000114 0.000676 0.001575 0.002735 0.004081 0.005694
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000083 0.000645 0.001580 0.002801 0.004225 0.005937
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000051 0.000603 0.001566 0.002841 0.004336 0.006142
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000028 0.000566 0.001555 0.002883 0.004450 0.006347
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000003 0.000494 0.001490 0.002854 0.004477 0.006452
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000451 0.001464 0.002872 0.004559 0.006619
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000428 0.001467 0.002927 0.004683 0.006832